Viewpoints

New world order with Trump 2.0 at the helm. New day, new risks. What’s keeping investors awake at the moment and how does this impact EM Fixed Income?

The driving force behind this performance is the Chinese tech sector, fuelled by hopes that a larger adoption of AI could boost earnings. A confirmation of improved earnings, the resurgence of consumption confidence and sequential stabilization of the overall economy will be needed to solidify and extend the recent rally.

Energy and resource efficiency is often underappreciated, but it has played a pivotal role in driving global emissions lower. Explore how we can benefit from the diverse opportunity set that efficiency brings, and why we believe its importance is set to continue.

People and organizations demonstrate their moral compass in challenging conditions. In 1999, portfolio manager Ed Walczak made a tough call to stick to his investment principles. Despite the pressure to conform to the market trend, he chose to invest in undervalued insurance companies, a decision that paid off when the internet bubble burst.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming our world at breakneck speed to boost its users’ productivity gains in various industries. The associated need for innovation, resources, and infrastructure investments, reinforced by politics and demographics, positions the providers of convincing solutions as potential future winners.

Is the tech market’s bull run, much like a steamroller, starting to reverse course? Efficiency gains recently announced by DeepSeek have raised questionsabout the commoditization of LLMs and the potential overinvestment in data centers, shifts that could significantly impact the industry and investors.

The massive efficiencies achieved by DeepSeek’s recently launched Large Language Model have prompted investors to reevaluate the power, data center, and chip requirements for the development of AI models. As AI becomes more widely adopted, we identify companies poised to benefit.

Emerging markets hard currency sovereign debt (EMD) has long held the promise of opportunity, but investor enthusiasm has waned in recent years. Could the tide be turning?

2025 is poised to be another positive yet complex year for equities. Balancing core positions in industries driven by secular trends – like semiconductors, AI hyperscalers, and the energy transition – with opportunistic exposures that can benefit from cyclical or policy-induced rebounds can help navigate the challenges ahead.

Despite US stocks' outperformance over international equities over the past two decades, investing solely in the US benchmark is not without risks. Yet we do not recommend investing indiscriminately in the broad international benchmark. Being selective and actively seeking out quality non-US companies can diversify portfolio risks and offer robust performance.

The new Trump administration’s policies evoke both optimism and apprehension among investors. This uncertainty is exacerbated by the pressures on the US consumer, high market concentration, and potential earnings disappointments. We highlight key themes we believe are worth watching in 2025.

Markets have been on the move since the US presidential election. However, we think lower funding costs thanks to tightening spreads and the prospect of returning flows are proving supportive of EM debt. But there will be winners and losers in the new regime…

Former investigative journalists tap into non-traditional sources to gather unique insights for our Quality Growth research team. This article highlights three case studies that led a portfolio manager to increase a position, sell a stock, and revisit the viability of a previous holding.

The mining industry is entering a green supercycle, driven by demand for metals and minerals needed for decarbonization. Despite increased competition and deeper mining, technological advancements are boosting productivity and reducing emissions. This presents compelling long-term investment opportunities in this evolving industry.

The forces driving today’s markets are making it especially hard for investors to find the right balance. How can investors tap into the burgeoning power of AI without taking too much risk? Learn how our Quality Growth team manages risk while maintaining a healthy equilibrium.

How do you manage the impact of market volatility driven by election outcomes? Matthew Benkendorf, CIO of our Quality Growth Boutique, shares ways to help mitigate risks and stay focused on business fundamentals that point to enduring quality.

A cleaner, more resource-efficient path to the future is clear. What's less discussed is the massive growth opportunity this presents for investors seeking to diversify their global equity portfolios. This article encourages global equity investors to rethink the role of environmental impact strategies in their portfolios.

Investors have been chasing their favorite AI names around the track, without considering how they could sustain their earnings growth for a prolonged period or through a recession. As long-term investors, we aim to remain focused on resilient companies with durable business models, which we believe will finish the race.

Navigating challenging markets requires assessing earnings and revenue trends and digging into balance sheets. But financial metrics alone can be backward looking. A fundamental understanding of industries, companies, and markets can provide important insights that can help avoid hidden risks and identify overlooked growth drivers.

By the end of this historical election year, nearly half of the world’s population is expected to have gone to the polls to vote for their respective leaders. In the world’s biggest economy, the race has yet to be decided. What might a second Donald Trump term mean for net zero if he were to be re-elected?

Previously considered a niche strategy, quality investing is popular today for a simple reason – it has worked. While there are many nuances in defining a quality company, we focus on five convictions that we believe separate us from other managers.

This latest article from Fixed Income explores the potential of Emerging Markets (EM) in the current economic landscape, despite significant outflows and perceived risks. Despite outflows and perceived risks, EMs offer promising opportunities for fixed income investors.

Former journalists are a key part of the Quality Growth approach. Their unique skill set brings fresh perspective and sparks healthy debate during the research process. This has been shown to help identify trends ahead of the market, avoid potentially costly investment mistakes, and test new and existing investment rationales.

Child labor and imposing unnecessary medical procedures on women were recently identified in the sugar industry in India. While multinationals such as Pepsi and Coca-Cola are not directly linked to poor labor conditions, they can affect change. As active investors, we engage with our portfolio companies on these important issues.