Quality Approach

China’s luxury market is being reshaped: ultra-high-end brands remain resilient, while mid-tier players face pressure from premium and domestic competitors. Consumers are shifting spending toward experiences and local brands, with uneven recovery and opportunities emerging in platforms and adaptable operators.

Portfolio manager Ed Walczak shares his thoughts on his trip to the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, his 30 th visit. He focuses on investing versus speculating in today’s AI-obsessed market, and how sticking to a discipline might be harder but more important than ever.

Like oil once powered the industrial era, chips have become a key input powering broad economic activity, with expectations for demand to continue through 2026 and into 2027. In our view, “picks-and-shovels” companies should benefit regardless of which model, hyperscaler, or foundation lab ultimately wins.

Galderma is a pure play dermatology company with steadily growing aesthetics and skin care franchises. Galderma’s Dysport is taking share from Botox, while Nemluvio, its novel itch biologic, is gaining traction. We believe the company may see long term revenue and profit growth ahead. Turns out, demand for better skin is remarkably durable.

I mercati odierni ricordano la favola di Esopo: molti operatori, dopo anni di ribassi brevi e contenuti seguiti da rapidi rimbalzi sostenuti dalle banche centrali, hanno smesso di prendere sul serio i rischi. A nostro avviso, questa compiacenza ha gonfiato le valutazioni e ridotto il livello di difesa dei portafogli, creando fragilità strutturale.

Artificial intelligence (AI) may be one of the greatest technological breakthroughs, but it’s too early to tell. History shows that investment returns don’t always match innovation hype. However, we do know that economic fundamentals have not changed, which means that investments must become self-financing and deliver adequate returns to be sustainable.

Vontobel’s Ed Walczak is among a small number of portfolio managers active today who were also managing money during the dot-com bubble. Ed compares the two time periods and explains how having zero exposure in tech and telecom in the dot-com era, while unpopular, rewarded his investors.

Sebbene il potenziale dell’AI rimanga molto interessante, la sua attuale posizione dominante sul mercato e la dipendenza da finanziamenti esterni generano vulnerabilità. Cercando opportunità in settori caratterizzati da crescita prevedibile e resilienza – sia all’interno che all’esterno dell’ecosistema AI – riteniamo che gli investitori possano affrontare meglio le incertezze future.

Leaders in the video game industry, such as Tencent Holdings, NetEase, and Capcom, offer a distinct blend of predictability and growth through a combination of "Evergreen" titles and new game pipelines. These firms have generated recurring revenues and compounded earnings at approximately 20% annually over the past decade.

Nel 2025 i mercati sono dominati da momentum trades legati all’AI e dal valore extra-USA. Tuttavia, la sostenibilità di queste tendenze rimane incerta, soprattutto considerando il ROI ancora non provato degli investimenti in AI. In questo contesto, i titoli di qualità si confermano una scelta prudente, offrendo resilienza e potenziale di crescita costante.

Scopra perché e come i nostri esperti in investimenti azionari puntano su società di qualità.