Conviction Equities Boutique
Time to adapt?
Adaptation solutions are becoming more popular given the increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events. While we see the benefits, we urge investors to remember that prevention is better than cure, and mitigation remains vital if we are to ensure a better future for all.
Quality Growth Boutique
Strategies to tackle the top 3 risks in global equity markets
Uncertainty and volatility in today’s environment have highlighted the benefits of our disciplined Quality Growth philosophy, focused on proven businesses with inherent resilience and durability. Given the narrow tailwinds from the prior two years, select quality companies are attractively valued given their defensive growth characteristics.
Quality Growth Boutique
Finding resilient growth amid tariffs and AI volatility
As the exuberance we’ve seen over the past few years fades, our Quality Growth team looks to find resilience in industries that are shielded from the effects of tariffs and the volatility around AI.
Conviction Equities Boutique
Emerging market equities are more domestic than you think
Emerging market (EM) equities are more domestically driven than commonly assumed. Companies in the MSCI EM Index derive over 60% of revenues in their home markets. And they could further reduce their dependence on exports in the future. We illustrate the reasons.
Quality Growth Boutique
Fierce competition and unclear monetization of AI models in China
Investigative analyst Zhen Li recently attended the Shanghai’s second Global Developer Conference. Zhen’s on-the-ground research reveals concerns about the viability and sustainability of DeepSeek’s model given the intense competition in China's AI sector and lack of clarity around monetization of AI models.
Multi Asset Boutique
State-dependent risk
Traditional volatility models often lag real market shifts, leaving portfolios vulnerable. Our new Quanta Byte introduces State-dependent Risk (SDR) - a dynamic approach that adapts faster to evolving conditions. By leveraging historical patterns and similarity measures, SDR more accurately forecasts volatility, helping investors navigate risk and protect their ascent.
Asset management
Breaking Bias
Challenging entrenched biases, this special International Women's Day Quanta Byte decodes the myth of meritocracy in finance. Featuring insights from Prof. Renée Adams and Ola Mahmoud, discover how data dismantles stereotypes and reveals why perceptions of women in finance often stray from reality.
Fixed Income Boutique
What’s keeping investors awake at night? (and what about EMD?)
New world order with Trump 2.0 at the helm. New day, new risks. What’s keeping investors awake at the moment and how does this impact EM Fixed Income?
Conviction Equities Boutique
Does the China stock market rally have legs?
The driving force behind this performance is the Chinese tech sector, fuelled by hopes that a larger adoption of AI could boost earnings. A confirmation of improved earnings, the resurgence of consumption confidence and sequential stabilization of the overall economy will be needed to solidify and extend the recent rally.
Conviction Equities Boutique
Simpler and cleaner: profitable opportunities from efficiency
Energy and resource efficiency is often underappreciated, but it has played a pivotal role in driving global emissions lower. Explore how we can benefit from the diverse opportunity set that efficiency brings, and why we believe its importance is set to continue.
Quality Growth Boutique
Lessons from the past: Navigating difficult times with conviction and moral clarity
People and organizations demonstrate their moral compass in challenging conditions. In 1999, portfolio manager Ed Walczak made a tough call to stick to his investment principles. Despite the pressure to conform to the market trend, he chose to invest in undervalued insurance companies, a decision that paid off when the internet bubble burst.
Conviction Equities Boutique
Three trends key for thematic investing in 2025
Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming our world at breakneck speed to boost its users’ productivity gains in various industries. The associated need for innovation, resources, and infrastructure investments, reinforced by politics and demographics, positions the providers of convincing solutions as potential future winners.
Quality Growth Boutique
Navigating the tech market steamroller: Will DeepSeek’s efficiency gains prompt a reversal?
Is the tech market’s bull run, much like a steamroller, starting to reverse course? Efficiency gains recently announced by DeepSeek have raised questionsabout the commoditization of LLMs and the potential overinvestment in data centers, shifts that could significantly impact the industry and investors.
Quality Growth Boutique
Companies poised for growth amid DeepSeek and other AI advancements
The massive efficiencies achieved by DeepSeek’s recently launched Large Language Model have prompted investors to reevaluate the power, data center, and chip requirements for the development of AI models. As AI becomes more widely adopted, we identify companies poised to benefit.
Fixed Income Boutique
Emerging markets debt: Where have all the flows gone?
Emerging markets hard currency sovereign debt (EMD) has long held the promise of opportunity, but investor enthusiasm has waned in recent years. Could the tide be turning?
Conviction Equities Boutique
Global equities in 2025: Balancing structural drivers with opportunistic exposures
2025 is poised to be another positive yet complex year for equities. Balancing core positions in industries driven by secular trends – like semiconductors, AI hyperscalers, and the energy transition – with opportunistic exposures that can benefit from cyclical or policy-induced rebounds can help navigate the challenges ahead.
Multi Asset Boutique
Will AI ever crack investing?
AI has dominated games like chess and Go, but the markets are far more complex. In our latest Expl(AI)ning article, we explore why investing’s complexity remains unmatched, where AI stands today, and what’s next for finance.
Quality Growth Boutique
Advice from an international manager: avoid non-US equities…?
Despite US stocks' outperformance over international equities over the past two decades, investing solely in the US benchmark is not without risks. Yet we do not recommend investing indiscriminately in the broad international benchmark. Being selective and actively seeking out quality non-US companies can diversify portfolio risks and offer robust performance.
Quality Growth Boutique
4 key themes to watch in global equity markets in 2025
The new Trump administration’s policies evoke both optimism and apprehension among investors. This uncertainty is exacerbated by the pressures on the US consumer, high market concentration, and potential earnings disappointments. We highlight key themes we believe are worth watching in 2025.
Fixed Income Boutique
What we think changes, what doesn’t, in EM fixed income post-election?
Markets have been on the move since the US presidential election. However, we think lower funding costs thanks to tightening spreads and the prospect of returning flows are proving supportive of EM debt. But there will be winners and losers in the new regime…
Quality Growth Boutique
From journalists to analysts: there’s no substitute for on-the-ground research
Former investigative journalists tap into non-traditional sources to gather unique insights for our Quality Growth research team. This article highlights three case studies that led a portfolio manager to increase a position, sell a stock, and revisit the viability of a previous holding.
Multi Asset Boutique
Architecture and data trump maths
Gain an intuition on how complex AI architectures actually work. You will see that one model cannot fit all kinds of data. The key to solving problems with AI and surpassing mathematical challenges is to use the right model and the appropriate, high-quality data.
Multi Asset Boutique
From biological to artificial intelligence
Explore the fascinating parallels between biological intelligence and artificial neural networks. This article dives into how AI mimics the brain’s neuron structures to solve complex problems, revealing the power of neural networks and their potential to reshape our understanding of intelligence and decision-making.
Quality Growth Boutique
Modern mining: Digging deep to find winners on the brink of a technological revolution
The mining industry is entering a green supercycle, driven by demand for metals and minerals needed for decarbonization. Despite increased competition and deeper mining, technological advancements are boosting productivity and reducing emissions. This presents compelling long-term investment opportunities in this evolving industry.