Insights

Risk sentiment has withstood seesawing geopolitical headlines. The latest Investors’ Outlook shares the Multi Asset Boutique's reasons why and outlines what may lie ahead as we move further into the second quarter.

The dispersion across commodity sectors persists into Q1 2026, with petroleum now the dominant driver of BCOM performance. In our latest quarterly outlook, we examine the supply dynamics behind elevated oil prices, the sharp precious metals selloff, and our views across energy, metals, and agriculture amid acute geopolitical uncertainty.

Investors are in wait-and-see mode as they face many moving pieces in the Middle East war. The Multi Asset Boutique shares its views in the latest Investors’ Outlook.

There has been no shortage of volatility amid escalating geopolitical tensions and growing AI disruption fears, but a little market pruning can be healthy. The latest Investors’ Outlook sifts through the recent developments and puts them into perspective.

The geopolitical risk premium has transitioned from being a mere possibility to a present reality. Here is our perspective on the evolving situation in the Middle East.

It has been a roaring start to the new year as geopolitical headlines turned the volume up, contributing to a weaker US dollar and a surge in gold. But what else may await investors as the year unfolds? Find out in the first Investors’ Outlook of 2026.

Commodities delivered strong returns in 2025 with the significant dispersion across commodities. In our quarterly commodity outlook, we discuss our view of oil markets, metals, grains and of course the all shining precious metal rally. Find out where we see value in an environment of macroeconomic tailwind and geopolitical uncertainty.

As we approach 2026, high equity valuations, shifting inflation dynamics, and rising cross-asset dispersion are reshaping the investment landscape. With traditional portfolio strategies like the 60/40 model facing new challenges, diversification is becoming a practical necessity. The Solutions team explores how these structural shifts are driving the return of the multi-asset cycle and what it means for investors navigating this new market regime.

As we turned to the final page of the year, markets experienced a combination of caution and consolidation. What are the factors setting the type for what might await markets in 2026? Find out in the latest Investors’ Outlook.

Government bonds are primarily driven by moves in their underlying interest rates – and these rates are highly correlated. In this QuantaByte, we show how correlated interest rates really are, and what conclusions an investor can draw to tackle this problem.

Behind every commodity price lies a hidden driver: the roll return. Whether in contango or backwardation, it can transform gains into losses—or the reverse. Discover how understanding futures curve dynamics empowers smarter, more resilient commodity investing.

Rising concentration in the S&P 500 has made markets more sensitive to a handful of mega-cap stocks driving performance. While technology remains dominant, this imbalance raises questions around volatility, diversification, and market resilience. The Solutions team explores how concentration has evolved and what it means for investors navigating today’s equity landscape.

Investors are already turning their attention to 2026 and what might come next. In the latest Investors’ Outlook, Vontobel’s Multi Asset Boutique shares what kind of “tricks and treats” the coming year may have in store.

Beating random walk benchmarks in FX markets has proven notoriously hard. In the fourth and final instalment of our FX series, we explore how new algorithmic approaches, leveraging alternative data, can finally give structure to the noise.

The latest Trump announcement made clear that critical commodities such as rare earths, advanced semiconductors, and even soybeans will remain central battlegrounds and no one will give in easily. Meanwhile, gold powers on and the Russia-Ukraine war continues to impact oil markets.

Now that the US Federal Reserve has delivered the rate cut many investors had anticipated, what’s fueling the sense of acceleration? The latest Investors’ Outlook dissects recent trends and adjusts the mirrors to bring the road ahead into focus.

Find out what role interest rates play in the economy and how they influence investments returns.

Find out what the yield curve is, when it becomes inverted and what that signals.

Explore the asset class of commodities and the aspects to consider when adding them to your portfolio.

Summer headlines either dangled relief or swung a blow, but investor sentiment turned risk-on. What boosted the mood, and what might await market participants throughout the rest of the year? The Multi Asset Boutique shares its take.

Our research shows sectors deliver both top and bottom returns, while factors—especially Quality, Dividend Strength and Minimum Volatility—offer more predictable, diversified, and stable performance. We use sectors tactically based on business cycle signals, but our strategic focus remains firmly on factors for consistent, risk-adjusted returns. Discover the Hybrid Investment team’s view on Minimum Volatility equity strategies over the business cycle at the Quantitative Investment Boutique.

FX is fragmented by nature — and that’s exactly what makes it valuable. Our latest Quanta Byte explores how FX trends offer independent return streams that passive hedging misses. Discover what happens when FX diversification starts doing more than just reducing volatility.

After a turbulent H1 driven by tariff headlines, commodities showed resilience. As tensions ease, are markets set for a breather—or just the eye of the storm? From oil and copper to gold and grains, we break down the signals, risks, and opportunities for the months ahead.

Stablecoins are emerging as significant players in U.S. debt markets, linking digital assets to sovereign bonds. As this $200 billion market expands, its influence on liquidity, auctions, and monetary policy is becoming systemic, signalling a transformative shift in the intersection of technology and traditional finance.