Equities

Are stock markets poised for a good year in 2024? Jean-Louis Nakamura, head of the Convictions Equities Boutique takes a comprehensive look at the various factors that indicate it may well be.

Welcome to this year’s first edition of mtx perspectives, which will highlight interesting developments across the world of global emerging markets. We start with a look at the digital revolution in Latin America.

Portfolio Manager David Souccar identifies three types of quality companies: Leaders have a rare combination of high returns and high predictability, Defenders grow slower but can protect in down markets, and Opportunity seekers can profit in uncertainty but are less predictable. Like a high-performing team, a successful quality portfolio has the optimal combination of all types of players.

As the landscape shifts, investors may now be exposed to risks that were previously disguised by a prolonged era of accommodative monetary policy. Today, it pays to be wary. A focus on quality can protect in a downturn and provide a smoother ride through the cycle.

Legendary investor Charlie Munger, who recently passed away, followed a simple philosophy of “soldiering on” – persevering through challenging times while also knowing when to seize opportunities. Munger’s wisdom guides us as we manage key risks and seek to find opportunities in 2024.

For the world to meet net-zero targets, massive energy transition capital is required. Governments can’t fund this alone. Asset allocators have a role to play and impact investing will be key.

Nature is our source. Challenges to natural capital are prompting the world to rethink its relationship with nature and the value we place on it. This article provides a bird-eye view of why investors should care about the semantics and monetization and regulation of nature.

A healthy and robust economy and society depends on healthy biodiversity. But rapid development has resulted in the dramatic degradation of our ecosystems, which can impede further economic progress while posing an existential threat. How can we better value nature to turn this trend around?

Asking the right question is a skill in itself. Read the FAQ seasoned investors ask our impact investing experts.

Recent advances in generative artificial intelligence have propelled some stocks in the tech space to nosebleed valuations. By failing to distinguish the level of certainty around the long-term benefits of AI, markets have disproportionally rewarded some companies. Is this playing out in a logical way? Or is the market missing something crucial?

Change rests in our hands. Impact investing is gaining in popularity as investors look for increasing sustainability in all areas of life. We share three reasons that institutional and professional investors told us keep them turning to impact.

Don’t fall prey to the myths surrounding impact investing.

The wave of alarming headlines can sometimes seem to dwarf the social challenges the world faces. But Impact investing addresses a wide array of important issues that may be a bit more difficult to grasp. The latest Impact Report for Vontobel’s Global Impact Equities strategy provides case studies to highlight the steps towards positive change.

The environmental crisis is undeniable, and the world needs an urgent plan. Investment firms have an important role to play. In the latest Impact Report for Vontobel’s Global Environmental Change strategy, the Impact Investing team assesses how its holdings have helped mitigate sustainability challenges, but also delves a bit deeper: find an overview of the sustainable-finance landscape and an in-depth examination of the regulatory environment into selected key developments.

China’s last few years have presented new economic challenges, and Beijing has completely rewritten its policy priorities and playbook. But looking ahead, this does not mean Chinese investment won’t be rewarded in the future; rather that policy-compliance should be a criterion considered by investors.

Favored investment approaches, investor motivation, public and private markets, measuring impact, where the main opportunities and challenges lie.

Financial return and positive impact are equally important in impact investing – but so is measurement.

After a multi-decade era of significant economic growth, China is now the second largest global economy and dominant in the MSCI emerging market index. How should emerging market equities investors balance this with the potential implications of recent economic and political moves out of Beijing and shifting demographic patterns?

We reap what we sow: the “double dividend” concept seeks to offer financial returns and a better tomorrow

Generating financial returns and making a positive impact on our planet and society are equally important in impact investing – but so is measurement. To effectively measure impact, we use a systematic and repeatable approach with a commitment to full transparency at all times.

Investors can look back at having had to navigate a difficult first half of the year. Emerging-market equities, though posting positive returns, trailed their developed-market counterparts. Could things turn around in the remainder of the year, leading to an outperformance of EM stocks?

To say addressing carbon emissions is urgent errs on the side of understatement. Tackling the transition toward decarbonization requires a collective effort, and carbon markets have a key role to play in the climate change fight – though those opportunities also come with some challenges.

With regional banks in the US concerned about deposit flight, financial conditions are tightening, increasing the probability of a hard landing for the economy. Quality companies that do not rely on leverage and whose earnings tend to be more resilient during times of economic weakness can be an attractive option for investors.

Multinationals listed in the US can provide exposure to global revenues. But an international approach also offers access to world leading companies that have no equivalent in domestic markets. And with valuations at a wide discount to the US, and below long-run averages, the story in international equities is both timely and compelling.