3 exploitable sources of alpha

Recent market volatility has reinforced the value of alpha over beta. While markets rebounded from recent lows, risks persist – from uncertain trade policy to concerns about debt sustainability. But fixed income remains resilient. We are finding opportunities in local currency EM debt, US high yield, and European investment grade credit.

You can now watch the replay of our webinar: A new world order? Where next for markets and Fixed Income?

We remain cautiously optimistic about Fixed Income returns. Tail risks are elevated, which dampens our confidence in “risk on” markets. But alpha opportunities still await risk-aware, active investors. Those who try to predict the next major macro shift may find themselves echoing Luke Skywalker’s words, “your overconfidence is your weakness.”

New world order with Trump 2.0 at the helm. New day, new risks. What’s keeping investors awake at the moment and how does this impact EM Fixed Income?

Emerging markets hard currency sovereign debt (EMD) has long held the promise of opportunity, but investor enthusiasm has waned in recent years. Could the tide be turning?

Conditions are currently favorable across fixed income markets. But pockets of volatility and risk aversion will challenge even the most skilled investors. The silver lining? We expect risk-conscious, active investors can generate alpha opportunities in 2025 similar to those achieved this year.