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    Clear convictions are a prerequisite for investment success. Our convictions are the result of our relentless in-depth analysis and calculations. We share our findings so that clients can invest with conviction too.

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Insights Topic

Artificial Intelligence

Conviction Equities Boutique
2026-08_reality-check-for-ai_teaser.jpg
27 Aug 2026 Viewpoint

Reality check for artificial intelligence: correction or end of cycle?

We examine where we currently stand in the artificial intelligence (AI) cycle, how much further the AI boom may run, and why current market weakness could present long-term opportunities.
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Quality Growth Boutique
https://am.vontobel.com/en/insights/open-vs-closed-models-cheap-intelligence-and-the-economics-of-the-AI-buildout
22 Jul 2026 Viewpoint

Open vs. closed models: Cheap intelligence and the economics of the AI buildout

This article examines the central paradox of the AI economy: intelligence is becoming dramatically cheaper even as technology companies invest record sums in AI infrastructure. It explores the AI value chain, token economics, the open-versus-closed model debate, and whether soaring usage can offset falling prices as compute supply remains constrained.
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Fixed Income Boutique
2026-07_credit-at-a-crossroads_teaser.jpg
6 Jul 2026 Fixed Income Quarterly

Credit at a crossroads: AI-driven IG supply, hidden dispersion in HY, and Swiss stability

The investment grade market faces an AI-driven supply surge as hyperscalers reshape credit dynamics. In high yield, surface stability masks elevated issuer dispersion and structural divergence, while CHF markets remain supported by benign inflation, strong demand, and favorable seasonal dynamics.
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Multi Asset Boutique
2026-07_Investors-Outlook_teaser.jpg
2 Jul 2026 Outlook

Investors’ Outlook: And now for something completely different

With the first half of the year behind us, the latest Investors’ Outlook explores the topics that have occupied markets, including what mega-IPOs could mean for equity markets, whether easing geopolitical tensions might help cool inflation concerns, and what may lie ahead for the UK economy.
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Asset management
2026-06-power-moves_teaser.jpg
11 Jun 2026 Viewpoint

Power moves: The new energy order

In an increasingly deglobalized world, governments are seeking energy and commodity autonomy in the form of domestic supply chains and strategic reserves. What does this mean for the energy transition?
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Multi Asset Boutique
2026-06_Investors-Outlook_teaser.jpg
4 Jun 2026 Outlook

Investors’ Outlook: Adjusting the focus

As we enter the home stretch of the first half of the year, one of the main questions is what the war in the Middle East may mean for the economy’s trajectory this year. The Multi Asset Boutique shares its views in the latest Investors’ Outlook.
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Quality Growth Boutique
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22 May 2026 Viewpoint

Waiting for the “fat pitch”: Lessons from the 2026 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting

Portfolio manager Ed Walczak shares his thoughts on his trip to the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, his 30 th visit. He focuses on investing versus speculating in today’s AI-obsessed market, and how sticking to a discipline might be harder but more important than ever.
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Quality Growth Boutique
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20 May 2026 Viewpoint

Silicon is the new oil: Why the AI compute cycle still has runway

Like oil once powered the industrial era, chips have become a key input powering broad economic activity, with expectations for demand to continue through 2026 and into 2027. In our view, “picks-and-shovels” companies should benefit regardless of which model, hyperscaler, or foundation lab ultimately wins.
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Conviction Equities Boutique
2026-03-beyond-the-giants-finding-growth-in-smaller-companies_teaser.jpg
12 Mar 2026 Viewpoint

Beyond the giants: Finding growth in smaller companies

Equity markets have become concentrated in a handful of mega-cap stocks, leaving many high-quality small- and mid-cap (SMID) companies overlooked. But what does the combination of concentration, valuation, and structural megatrends mean for investors?
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TwentyFour
What the bear case on AI is missing
26 Feb 2026 TwentyFour Blog

What the bear case on AI is missing

We have had an eventful few weeks of AI-driven volatility in markets, with markets seemingly swinging from “everyone’s a winner” to “everyone’s a loser” faster than technological progress itself.
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TwentyFour
Flash Fixed Income new imagery - 1
16 Feb 2026 Flash Fixed Income

Flash Fixed Income: AI and the software sell-off

Market focus has shifted in recent weeks from hyperscaler spending to the threat AI could pose to numerous software-as-a-service (SaaS) businesses.
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Quality Growth Boutique
2026-02_12_what-we-dont-know-the-gap-between-ai-hype-and-economic-reality_teaser.jpg
6 Feb 2026 Viewpoint

What we don’t know: the gap between AI hype and economic reality

Artificial intelligence (AI) may be one of the greatest technological breakthroughs, but it’s too early to tell. History shows that investment returns don’t always match innovation hype. However, we do know that economic fundamentals have not changed, which means that investments must become self-financing and deliver adequate returns to be sustainable.
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Based in 20 locations across Europe, the United States, and Asia Pacific, we are close to you and your needs.
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