Turning Stones Blog

How do you identify risk from water stress? This blog looks at causes and vulnerability by business and location. Population growth of 750 million this decade and climate change will keep water stress rising. Companies need to adjust to the value of water before the market prices for scarcity.

Understanding potential value destruction from climate change is challenging. A strong framework can significantly improve visibility. There are hundreds of companies that appear to have value at risk from climate change greater than their market capitalization – climate zombies. Insights on where to find, and value, risks in this blog.

The US government launches 2 new rules aimed at ESG and proxy voting. Individually they appear investor-first, but taken together may be seen as a political agenda to limit investor activism from social and environmental interest groups. We are concerned about the impact on effective stewardship.

Ethnic minorities account for 40% of the US population, 29% of bachelor degrees, but just 16% of Fortune 500 board seats. Sub-conscious bias plays a big role. A structured approach to hiring and mentoring are required for change. Diversity can drive innovation and shareholder returns.

Emerging markets can be frustrating for investors – epidemics, scandals, inflation, deficits, and natural disasters. There is huge potential and risk in the EM. Investors need to guard compounding from trouble with a focus on governance. The challenge is putting up with the volatility. But low volatility is not the same as low risk for long-term investors.

3 steps to help navigate the storm: recognize change, keep an eye on your horizon, and get ahead of structural shifts that will follow the shock of death and economic damage. How we frame the crisis in terms of capital preservation and recovery will affect investment decisions.

Modern slavery affected an estimated 89 million people during the 5 years to 2016 – more than Germany’s population. Its profits creep into our homes through imported goods enabled by complex supply chains. Imported goods with content produced by forced labor is a central problem. Active investors have a role.

Why did so many well educated and well meaning people not take the plastic tsunami seriously until an island of the stuff became headline news?

Employees are consumers that power the economy. They also represent a large part of valuations worldwide. So why are investors so bad at measuring people impact? Understanding how and why employees add value enables companies to get the most from their staff, delivering better results for savers and society.

What is the purpose of your company? Not what it does, but its purpose. Its goals. Its compass. A meaningful answer is usually pretty short, understood by a layman, and can provide a light to follow through tough decisions. The pressure for companies to rethink their purpose, and the sharing of rewards across a company’s stakeholders, has risen sharply.

Get Social, ‘S’ from ESG, wrong and a company stands to lose customers and employee loyalty, and damage value of the business. The priority of owners in how socially responsible investments are made, and the expected returns, are key. Liquid markets can deliver rapid change in ownership. Can the two coexist? Owners are as much part of the solution as part of the problem.

China is relying on consumer spending for growth, with consumption driven by running property prices, rapidly rising incomes and debt. China’s property prices reached 84% of those in the U.S., yet disposable income is just one tenth. As the trade fallout with the U.S. saps demand for jobs – red flags are up.