Mother Earth Day: The cost of not acting is high

Conviction Equities Boutique
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The world is facing an environmental crisis of unprecedented dimensions. Fighting climate change should be a high priority for humankind as it is closely linked to many other environmental challenges.

Climate change is causing rises in temperature, precipitation patterns, and other factors that are affecting the distribution and abundance of species, which leads to biodiversity loss. Deforestation contributes to climate change by releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, and it also reduces biodiversity and contributes to soil erosion. Climate change is also responsible for altering the availability and distribution of water resources, with some regions experiencing more frequent and severe droughts, floods, and storms. This can lead to water scarcity, which affects agriculture, industry, and human health. Pollution is not only responsible for greenhouse gases but is also responsible for health issues. Additionally, converting land for agriculture, urbanization, or other purposes can affect the carbon balance of ecosystems, leading to increased greenhouse gas emissions.

Apart from the willingness of different governments to regulate the effects, significant investments are needed in the coming decades to prevent temperatures from rising by less than 1.5° C above pre-industrial levels. Preventing this temperature from rising requires a significant investment in transitioning to a low-carbon economy and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, global CO2 emissions would need to decline by about 45% from 2010 levels by 2030 and reach net-zero around 2050.

The investment needed to enable the real-economy transition is sizable. Estimates indicate that by the end of the decade, an additional 1 trillion US dollars per year will be required for clean energy investment in emerging markets and developing economies alone to put the world on track to reach net zero by 2050. This reflects a sevenfold increase from today’s levels, even before considering climate finance needs in other countries and sectors, such as agriculture and manufacturing, and the requirements for building resilience and adapting to the impacts of climate change that we are already experiencing1.

The cost of not taking action to prevent temperatures rising above 1.5°C would be even higher. Therefore, investing in climate action is not only necessary to prevent catastrophic climate change, water stress, and loss of biodiversity, to name a few, but also makes economic sense in the long run. The private sector has a significant role to play in addressing global environmental challenges. By taking action to reduce its environmental footprint and supporting sustainability initiatives, the private sector can contribute to a more sustainable and resilient future for all. However, it needs collaboration between governments, the private sector, and financial institutions.

Moving ahead

The European Commission answered the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) by proposing a Net Zero Industry Act and a European Critical Raw Materials Act. These aim to scale up domestic manufacturing and diversify supply chains. The goals are similar to the IRA ones: foster local businesses and supply security. The acts are meant to create better conditions for clean tech manufacturing capacities, which are expected to reach 40% of the deployment needs by 2030. Emphasizing global competitiveness and energy independence, they are also meant to bring green jobs, education, talents, and the necessary manufacturing for the energy transition back to Europe. Moreover, they should accelerate permission procedures – the most frequently mentioned hurdle in Europe. To avoid falling behind, the British government unveiled its own plan to scale up affordable, clean, homegrown power and build green industries, labelled the “Powering Up Britain” policy paper to emphasize the domestic focus.

Investment opportunities with a positive environmental impact

Investing in companies and projects that contribute to the fight against global warming and other environmental challenges can be a profitable and impactful investment strategy. However, it's worth noting that it involves higher risks than traditional investments, so it's important to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before investing. Some areas with attractive prospects can be found in renewable energy and energy efficiency, e.g., Vestas, Prysmian, and Nibe are leading companies in these areas. Also, solutions towards green infrastructure, including mass transit, bike sharing, and green buildings, can contribute to reducing carbon emissions. Additionally, areas like sustainable agriculture, including companies that develop sustainable farming practices or provide products that reduce environmental impacts, offer attractive prospects. Innovative solutions for waste management and recycling can contribute to reducing the amount of waste that ends up in landfills and promoting circular economy practices. Ecolab and Smurfit Kappa are two examples of companies in this area.

The net-zero transition race is heating up globally, with major government initiatives trying to grab their share. The European Commission took a bold step towards achieving net-zero emissions with two acts announced recently, which intend to ramp up clean tech industrial capacity and secure a sustainable raw material value chain. The proposal includes bold targets and measures, probably to outrun the US and China – a rather tough challenge.

 

 

 

1.  Financing clean energy transitions in emerging and developing economies , IEA, 2021. Reflects the clean energy investment required by the end of the decade within EM&DEs if the world is to meet net-zero by 2050. Estimates exclude China.

About the authors
dudle_pascal

Pascal Dudle

Head of Impact & Thematic Investing, Lead Portfolio Manager

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