Sharing our convictions

Recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data brought good news for investors and central banks.

As we navigate this historic US election, with its many twists and turns, our latest Quanta Byte explores how real-time data can be used to forecast outcomes and the potential effect of these outcomes on US equities.

What is the intersection between geopolitics and climate change? The latest white paper by our Chief Economist Reto Cueni and Senior ESG Analyst Veronika Stolbova explores how these factors shape international relations, industrial policies, and the global power balance.

Investors have been chasing their favorite AI names around the track, without considering how they could sustain their earnings growth for a prolonged period or through a recession. As long-term investors, we aim to remain focused on resilient companies with durable business models, which we believe will finish the race.

If you were on vacation last week, your holiday blues wouldn’t have been helped when you looked at your screens this morning, given how quickly sentiment has changed, mainly on the back of one data point.

Positioning and fixed income markets have remained quite tricky this year, however credit markets have continued to perform very strongly. TwentyFour Asset Management's Eoin Walsh, discusses why he thinks there is opportunity within European credit despite the rate headwinds and pull back on some of the aggressive rate cutting expectations markets had at the start of the year.

TwentyFour Asset Management's Chris Bowie discusses the underweight duration across all of our outcome driven strategies, how this phase is now coming to an end, and why we are beginning to increase our interest rate duration in all of our funds.

Stacking tensors is a routine task in machine learning, and it's included in most open-source packages. The newest Quanta Byte from Quantitative Investments provides an in-depth look at what tensor stacking is and its various uses.

Quantitative Investments is beginning a series of monthly videos, each with an update on both systematic and hybrid aspects of investment approaches. Watch the latest updates.

Navigating challenging markets requires assessing earnings and revenue trends and digging into balance sheets. But financial metrics alone can be backward looking. A fundamental understanding of industries, companies, and markets can provide important insights that can help avoid hidden risks and identify overlooked growth drivers.

By the end of this historical election year, nearly half of the world’s population is expected to have gone to the polls to vote for their respective leaders. In the world’s biggest economy, the race has yet to be decided. What might a second Donald Trump term mean for net zero if he were to be re-elected?

The last few weeks have seen former President Donald Trump establish a lead over current President Joe Biden across polls in the run-up to November’s US election. Even though it is early days and a lot can change before November (including the Democrat candidate), it is worth considering what a second Trump term might mean for the world economy and for fixed income markets.

In this three-article series, we revisit covered call strategies. In this third article, we give a glimpse into our investment capabilities and provide readers with details on how to potentially capitalize on the opportunity.

Last month saw the European Central Bank (ECB) get their cutting cycle underway with a 25bp cut in the deposit rate to 3.75%. However, any expectations for a rapid series of reductions after the first move were tempered by President Christine Lagarde, who at the subsequent press conference was clear that the ECB could move in phases in which they left interest rates unchanged.

There is little disagreement among investors and economists that the last few years have been highly unusual in many respects. An inflationary shock in developed markets, one of the fastest rate hiking cycles on record, the worst year in decades for government bonds (2022), and mild recessions with no movement in unemployment are just a few of the dynamics that have strayed from recent norms.

Previously considered a niche strategy, quality investing is popular today for a simple reason – it has worked. While there are many nuances in defining a quality company, we focus on five convictions that we believe separate us from other managers.

After weeks of volatility following President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to call snap parliamentary elections in France, markets were breathing a sigh of cautious relief on Monday after the far-right Rassemblement National (RN) underperformed the polls.

One of the drivers of the dovish pivot from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December was the acknowledgement that the risks to the policy outlook had become more two-sided. In other words, while higher rates were still needed to tame inflation, the Fed saw a risk that staying restrictive for too long and risk damaging a labour market that has so far shown remarkable resilience.

The forecast-defying strength of the US economy has been one of the key drivers of financial markets in recent quarters, but as economic prospects diverge, Europe is where we see the better relative value in fixed income today.

In this three-article series, we revisit covered call strategies. In this second article, we argue why covered calls offer a compelling way to play equities in the new decade (the “Why”).

For any fixed income investors that follow the England football team, the plan for H2 2024 may feel somewhat familiar – no substitutions in the second half.

How will the upcoming U.S. election affect global markets? The latest Quanta Bytes by Quantitative Investments analyzes how US election outcomes influence equity markets, the link between candidate policies and investment performance, as well as our unique election prediction model.

This latest article from Fixed Income explores the potential of Emerging Markets (EM) in the current economic landscape, despite significant outflows and perceived risks. Despite outflows and perceived risks, EMs offer promising opportunities for fixed income investors.

In this Back to Basics webinar, Gordon Shannon (Partner, Co-Head of Investment Grade) and Johnathan Owen (Portfolio Management) from our Investment grade team provided a comprehensive understanding of the key aspects of corporate hybrids.