Sharing our convictions

Over the course of last week, we saw several headlines around Additional Tier 1s (AT1s). First, the Dutch Finance Ministry indicated it is exploring the possibility of modifying or abolishing the asset class.

Fresh water is an essential but scarce resource, plentiful in some regions and sparse in others. On World Water Day, our Chief Economist Reto Cueni examines the global risk landscape related to water scarcity, and possible solutions to alleviate a growing problem.

In this Back to Basics webinar, Aza Teeuwen (Partner, Co-Head of ABS) and Elena Rinaldi (Portfolio Management), provided a comprehensive understanding of the key aspects and trends within the European CLO market.

Is ESG simply a different label for quality or could quality stand as a less controversial and politically sensitive description of highly sustainable companies? The question of whether ESG characteristics of listed companies form a new independent factor and a distinctive source of returns is an important one to address.

The end of rising interest rates in Europe and the US, attractive yields, and lower-than-expected default rates mean investors can get higher income without taking on as much risk as they had to in the past. In our view, less volatile, high quality fixed income products are poised for strong performance in 2024.

A company’s competitive advantages are referred to as its moat. Far from castles and the countryside, it is important to analyze the strength and durability of a company’s moat before investing. Since moats can be wide or narrow and change over time, competitive advantages must be constantly monitored.

Many US investors are overweight domestic versus international strategies for the wrong reasons – home bias and benchmark anchoring. In our view, investors should focus on great companies, regardless of where they are domiciled. An active international strategy can help US investors expand their opportunity set, diversify risks, and improve their portfolio returns.

Japan’s economic success story after World War II was like a phoenix rising from the ashes. But it didn’t last, resulting in the “Lost Decade” and China subsequently taking its place as the world’s second-largest economy. Comparing the Japan of yesteryear with today’s China raises the question whether China could soon face a similar fate.

Adding women to corporate boards can improve the impact a board has on company performance. Yet progress has been slow. Companies that recruit former CFOs and CEOs simply cannot find enough female board members. Expanding talent pools can bring more women into the fold.

Over the last decade investors have been forced to broaden their horizons, but many investors continue to overlook Emerging Market Local Currency Debt. Our Fixed income team offers five reasons why you should think about giving emerging markets local currency a more permanent allocation in your investment portfolio.

Almost a year ago to the day, we were in the midst of banking sector turmoil, which started off with regional banks in the US and spilled over to Europe, eventually culminating in the forced merger between Swiss banks UBS and Credit Suisse.  

We believe answers to critical questions about weight loss drugs will help determine the sustainability of success that some pharmaceutical stocks have enjoyed: How many people will be on the drug, and at what price? Which pharma company will be the winner of the R&D race?

The January US consumer price index (CPI) data came in stronger than expected with core month-on-month figures coming in at 0.4 % (0.3% expected) and year-on-year figures at 3.9% (3.7% expected) but unchanged from December’s 3.9% print.

After some troubled years, bonds are back. In a big way. Our team explains the reasons why we believe bonds are poised to be one of the most attractive risk/reward propositions of the coming year.

What does the environment look like for Credit in 2024? And what are the fundamentals for emerging-market corporates this year? Wouter Van Overfelt and Mondher Bettaieb-Loriot discuss some of the hot topics for fixed income in emerging markets and developed markets, respectively.

Over time the definition of quality has broadened and become subject to a variety of interpretations, with sometimes significant divergence in the performance of quality strategies depending on market conditions.

In this Back to Basics webinar, Aza Teeuwen (Partner, Co-Head of ABS) and Douglas Charleston, (Partner, Co-Head of ABS) provided a comprehensive understanding of the key aspects and trends within the European RMBS market.

Yesterday was an eventful day for markets. We started off with inflation data in Europe, followed by an earnings release by New York Community Bank that showed large provisions in their commercial real estate loan book, before moving onto the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting

David Souccar, portfolio manager and senior research analyst, explains why, in the quest for quality, your portfolio shopping basket would be incomplete without a trip to the international aisle.

Is a company that sells a $300 t-shirt a better investment than one that sells a $10 t-shirt? The answer lies in the strength of a company’s brand and, in turn, its pricing power. Or course, profit margins are an important consideration.

Are stock markets poised for a good year in 2024? Jean-Louis Nakamura, head of the Convictions Equities Boutique takes a comprehensive look at the various factors that indicate it may well be.

January is on track to be a standout month for EM debt issuance. Our Fixed Income boutique’s Sergey Goncharov reviews which sovereigns and corporates are issuing EM debt and takes the pulse of the current environment that they’re operating in.

Many overlook ESG criteria in the Emerging Markets sector, but this is missing a key opportunity it can offer: by reducing volatility, its application may make EM debt more attractive to those interested in the space but avoid it nonetheless due to political and other risks.

Welcome to this year’s first edition of mtx perspectives, which will highlight interesting developments across the world of global emerging markets. We start with a look at the digital revolution in Latin America.