Sharing our convictions

The wave of alarming headlines can sometimes seem to dwarf the social challenges the world faces. But Impact investing addresses a wide array of important issues that may be a bit more difficult to grasp. The latest Impact Report for Vontobel’s Global Impact Equities strategy provides case studies to highlight the steps towards positive change.

The environmental crisis is undeniable, and the world needs an urgent plan. Investment firms have an important role to play. In the latest Impact Report for Vontobel’s Global Environmental Change strategy, the Impact Investing team assesses how its holdings have helped mitigate sustainability challenges, but also delves a bit deeper: find an overview of the sustainable-finance landscape and an in-depth examination of the regulatory environment into selected key developments.

After what can only be described as a relatively dire year for fixed income in 2022, during which spiralling inflation led to one of the most aggressive rate hiking cycles on record, we believe the market for bonds is now looking much healthier.

It is our view that without a doubt 2022 was a year to forget for the bond market. Whether you held government bonds, high end corporate credit or riskier high yield paper, you would have taken a knock as steep increases in interest rates across the globe sent bond prices tumbling. 

The last few weeks has seen a sharp move up in long dated Treasuries, since the week of the FOMC meeting in September the US 10 year has moved up 45bp to 4.75% with a brief flirt with 4.90% in the meantime

China’s last few years have presented new economic challenges, and Beijing has completely rewritten its policy priorities and playbook. But looking ahead, this does not mean Chinese investment won’t be rewarded in the future; rather that policy-compliance should be a criterion considered by investors.

Favored investment approaches, investor motivation, public and private markets, measuring impact, where the main opportunities and challenges lie.

Short-term government bonds have enjoyed heightened levels of attention this year, but what will give fixed income investors that extra performance boost as the finish line for 2023 draws closer? Our Fixed Income Boutique’s corporate bond team shares five reasons why switching to actively managed investment grade bond funds could deliver that extra edge.

Financial return and positive impact are equally important in impact investing – but so is measurement.

Eoin Walsh shares his thoughts following last night's statement from the Federal Reserve, concluding that for now while treasury yields aren’t helping, credit looks attractive based on the rosy economic forecasts.

After a multi-decade era of significant economic growth, China is now the second largest global economy and dominant in the MSCI emerging market index. How should emerging market equities investors balance this with the potential implications of recent economic and political moves out of Beijing and shifting demographic patterns?

We reap what we sow: the “double dividend” concept seeks to offer financial returns and a better tomorrow

Felipe Villarroel takes a look at what progress, if any, has been made in the labour market and how this resonates with the Fed's projection of labour markets easing while not experiencing a major disruption.

Generating financial returns and making a positive impact on our planet and society are equally important in impact investing – but so is measurement. To effectively measure impact, we use a systematic and repeatable approach with a commitment to full transparency at all times.

Clean and safe water is essential to human survival. A key building block of our world, it’s also at the center of many global challenges. World Water Week draws attention to the need for innovation at a time of unprecedented challenges.

After a difficult 2022, bonds may be poised for unusually high returns compared to historic averages. And not just in the US -- we see opportunities in European CLOs and RMBS. They offer double digit yields for short-dated debt and look very attractive on a relative value basis compared to domestic credit.

As governments around the world provided support in various manners during the pandemic, savings ratios increased to levels that were twice as large as the previous all time highs in some countries. Felipe Villarroel takes a look at some countries' spending vs savings monthly data patterns and lays out what he thinks this means for fixed income investors.

Bank bonds have been amongst the best performing asset classes in fixed income over the last few months, doing their bit in proving their strength.

Luc D’hooge and Wouter Van Overfelt review the developments of the Vontobel Fund – Emerging Markets Debt and Vontobel Fund – Emerging Markets Corporate Bond and share their forecast for the remainder of 2023.

Felipe Villarroel looks at the preliminary numbers for July PMI Manufacturing and PMI Services data, and how from a markets point of view, he thinks volatility will remain in place while both rates and spreads should trade in a range as we await for more clarity on whether inflation will allow Central Banks to pause and the extent of the slowdown in H2, particularly considering August is looming.

What level of risk are investors willing to take? As central bank rates hike and a soft landing narrative makes its way into analysts’ forecasts, Eoin Walsh takes a look at what affects this has on investment risk and reinvestment risk.

What sort of landing will the global economy experience? With the recent release of the US CPI report, inflation has been on a downward trend and the resilient activity data has continued to surprise many. This report has acted as a trigger of sorts for increasing calls for a soft landing.

After a tumultuous decade, the stars may be set to favor emerging market local currency bonds again. Portfolio manager Carl Vermassen says there are good reasons to believe their outperformance so far this year isn’t just a one-off lucky shot.

Investors can look back at having had to navigate a difficult first half of the year. Emerging-market equities, though posting positive returns, trailed their developed-market counterparts. Could things turn around in the remainder of the year, leading to an outperformance of EM stocks?