TwentyFour
US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle
In recent weeks the US debt ceiling has been dominating headlines with investors focused on the imminent threat of a US default which would be extremely unnerving for global markets. We look at the wider implications facing the US economy.
TwentyFour
European banks continue to deliver, on earnings and calls
As earnings season kicks off in Europe, Eoin Walsh looks at what impact, if any, recent volatility in the banking sector has had on European banks.
TwentyFour
Short Term Bond Quarterly Update – April 2023
Partner and Portfolio Manager Chris Bowie discusses recent Q1 events and gives an outlook for Investment Grade for the next quarter.
TwentyFour
European Banking crisis fears overdone?
With headlines suggesting that deposit outflows in the banking sector are causing concern, Felipe Villarroel looks at the data which suggests that European banks remain resilient.
TwentyFour
What is in the price of AT1s after the sell off?
After a volatile few days in bank capital, Felipe Villarroel looks at how AT1s are pricing after the sell off.
TwentyFour
Rules of the game - from Swiss finish to finished
Swiss regulators' decision to bail out Credit Suisse equity holders while wiping out AT1 debtholders will see long-term effects on bank debt markets and likely legal action says Eoin Walsh
TwentyFour
Credit Suisse - In the eye of the storm
Partner Eoin Walsh explores what the potential outcome of regulatory intervention for Credit Suisse could mean as negative headlines persist for the bank.
Multi Asset Boutique
Central bank tightening begins to claim its first victims: isolated case or systemic risk?
With the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank dominating media headlines and fueling questions among investors, Mario Montagnani explains why our Multi Asset Boutique believes it is a company-specific, isolated case.
TwentyFour
Idiosyncratic or wider bank issue?
Deposit outflows at Silicon Valley Bank raise concerns over lending quality and mark-to-market losses, but is this a wider issue for the global banking sector?
TwentyFour
Are markets finally following the Fed?
With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.
TwentyFour
No, you haven’t missed the fixed income rally
Strong performance across markets in January has left some investors feeling they’ve missed out on the rally in bonds. No need to worry, says Felipe Villarroel.
TwentyFour
Short Term Bond Quarterly Update – January 2023
TwentyFour Portfolio Manager, Jack Daley, discusses how the short term bond strategy has performed in Q4 2022 and provides his outlook for the new year.
TwentyFour
Strategic Income Quarterly Update – January 2023
A member of our Multi-Sector Bond discusses market conditions in Q4 2022.
TwentyFour
Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – January 2023
TwentyFour Partner and Portfolio Manager, Douglas Charleston, describes the developments of the ABS market in Q4 2022.
TwentyFour
Time to extract Europe’s elevated bond spreads
With projections for European growth and inflation being hastily revised in early 2023, the region’s bonds are still paying investors a premium that may not be around for long, says Dillon Lancaster.
TwentyFour
Fed still on narrow path to soft landing
Recent employment data suggests the US economy may escape with a soft landing, a welcome boost to market sentiment in the early days of 2023, says Eoin Walsh.
Fixed Income Boutique
Chinese markets: Optimism arrived earlier, bumpy road ahead
The Politburo, the top decision-making body of the Chinese Communist Party, announced last week a document focusing on the country’s economic growth in 2023. Meanwhile, the Chinese government also started to exit its zero-Covid-policy, much sooner than anticipated. These intentions signal an earlier-than-expected recovery of the Chinese economy.
TwentyFour
Labour market the driving force for the Fed
Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation.
Fixed Income Boutique
Chinese property sector: A gradual recovery focused on long-term stability
China’s authorities have recently revealed coordinated measures to alleviate the pressure on its property sector. The government tried to help the sector in the past year but failed; however, this time could be more determined and effective.
TwentyFour
Strategic Income Quarterly Update – October 2022
George Curtis looks at market conditions in the third quarter of 2022.
TwentyFour
Short Term Bond Quarterly Update – October 2022
TwentyFour Portfolio Manager, Johnathan Owen, explains how investment grade markets have performed in Q3 2022.
TwentyFour
Has the UK risk premium gone too far?
With some UK bank bonds now trading with higher yields than their counterparts in Turkey, Mark Holman questions whether the dumping of UK and sterling assets has gone too far.
TwentyFour
Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – October 2022
TwentyFour Partner and Portfolio Manager, Douglas Charleston, explains how ABS markets have performed in Q3 2022 and provides his outlook for the rest of the year.
TwentyFour
Are BBBs still the place to be?
With rates volatility persisting and developed markets likely sliding toward recession, Jack Daley revisits our research on BBB defaults and returns and explains why we tend to maintain a significant allocation to BBB credit.