TwentyFour

Navigating The New Bond Volatility
This looks to us like a buy-into-the-dip opportunity, but investors should be wary of taking on too much rate sensitivity as the move in risk-free curves is likely to persist until the rate hike cycle is actually on the way.

Why BoE Hiking First May Be Best for Bonds
In the last month, global government bond curves have had a torrid time, with significant steepening seen across US Treasury, UK Gilt and German Bund yields.
Quality Growth Boutique

4Q 2021 US Equity Outlook: Focus on Fundamentals Amid Rising Uncertainty
Portfolio Manager Chul Chang discusses valuations, opportunities in technology and industrials, rising debt levels and ESG considerations.
TwentyFour

Rates Become The Source of Risk Again
From time to time, Treasury yields actually become the source of risk for financial markets.
TwentyFour

Should Investors Fear a Hawkish Tilt?
On Wednesday, the Fed moved one step closer to tapering and even put quite a clear timeframe for it, while on Thursday, the Bank of England openly talked about rate hikes.
Quality Growth Boutique

Bleeding Biodiversity – Measure and React
The nature we depend on is bleeding as natural habitat is cleared to support population growth, consumption and waste. Nature, society and the health of our portfolios are interlinked. This blog ties biodiversity hot spots to the impact of individual companies. Get ahead of risk and regulation.
TwentyFour

Winter is Coming
It will take time for this sector to recover and we are likely to see more suppliers collapse in the coming weeks and months.
TwentyFour

Stagflation – Probable or Panic?
Our base case is for a continuation of quite high growth and a modest inflation overshoot. For bond investors, positioning for stagflation could be a dangerous trade if that base case bears out
TwentyFour

The Conditions for Tapering Already Exist
With ample job openings, inflation well ahead of target, financial conditions that are certainly not tight and strong economic growth, the obvious question is what does the Fed need to see to finally start tapering its asset purchases?
Quality Growth Boutique

Why Investors Should be More Selective with Consumer Packaged Goods Stocks
Aided by social media and e-commerce, startup brands are increasingly taking share from legacy consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies. Meanwhile, retailers are launching far more sophisticated private-label brands. Which CPG companies are adapting to survive these threats? And do CPG stocks still play a role in portfolio construction?

How do ABS and CLO Investors Trade Bonds?
BWIC – or bids wanted in competition – lists, are a unique characteristic of the ABS and CLO markets, where they are widely used in secondary trading when investors are looking to sell bonds.
TwentyFour

Three tips for bond issuers on ESG data
TwentyFour Asset Management’s portfolio management team offer bond issuers three tips on improving their ESG data disclosure, and explain why companies shouldn’t attempt to fool them.
TwentyFour

Five lessons we’ve learned from sustainable bond investing
Graeme Anderson shares five lessons from sustainable bond investing, including how E and S are catching up to G and why Coca-Cola scores higher than Tesla.
TwentyFour

ESG: What makes 34…our chosen score
In recent months and years we have seen remarkable growth in the number of ESG-focused or sustainable investment strategies being offered by asset managers, a trend that first emerged in the equity market but is now making itself felt in the world of fixed income.

For Bonds, Q4 Will Present Similar Challenges to Q1
As we rapidly descend upon the fourth quarter of this extraordinary year, we think some of the risks fixed income investors faced back in Q1 will rear their heads again before the end of 2021.
TwentyFour

Credit Backdrop Shows More Upside for Euro High Yield
Despite the impressive returns of Euro HY over the last year or so, the backdrop for the asset class continues to suggest there is more upside to come.
TwentyFour

How Much Supply is There to Come?
This supply surge can be very welcome for those investors with cash to put to work, though it is also eyed with caution.
TwentyFour

Keeping your cool while headlines scream inflation
For bond investors, evidence of rising inflation represents the most resonant market story of 2021. In in his latest article Mark Holman, CEO of TwentyFour Asset Management (a boutique of Vontobel Asset Management), outlines the considerations for bond investors as they navigate credit market during the remainder of 2021.
Quality Growth Boutique

Message in a Bottle: Quality Companies Can Create Value by Spending on Sustainability
To many, investing in sustainability is commonsense. To some, it is more of a bureaucratic waste of time with onerous new regulations. To us, it is clear that ESG is an integral part of evaluating business quality because, simply put, sustainability has a material impact on long-term value.
Fixed Income Boutique

Jackson Hole: employment picture and rising inequality likely to delay tapering
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s annual summer symposium in Wyoming represents an important data point for financial markets since it provides valuable clues as to the policy moves the Fed may make in the ensuing twelve months. This year will be no exception and the investor community should listen carefully. It usually chooses not to resulting not only in market volatility but also opportunities.

Markets Rangebound For Now
As the Delta variant establishes a hold in many countries, forcing some governments to re-assess reopening policies, the market is beginning to feel its impact. The implication on growth remains unclear, but early indications suggest the growth rate may have peaked for this year, albeit continuing its recovery.
TwentyFour

German Multifamily CMBS – HAUS or BRIDGE?
Last week, Morgan Stanley successfully brought the first public German Multifamily CMBS deal (HAUS - Eloc 39) to market since 2013. Despite coming to the market in the middle of the summer, the deal has attracted strong demand across the capital stack.
Quality Growth Boutique

Beijing is changing growth objectives. What’s around the corner?
Recently Chinese regulators have become more assertive, causing concern among the international investor community. The key in helping investors navigate and, hopefully profit from these changes, is to understand the bigger picture and what the government is ultimately trying to achieve.
TwentyFour

Don’t Fight the Fundamentals on US High Yield
When combined with other prevalent market dynamics, the favourable ratings trend paves the way for a highly supportive fundamental terrain as we advance through the cycle and one that is ideal for portfolio managers selecting credits.