Obbligazionario

TwentyFour Asset Management’s Gordon Shannon explains how resilient US economic activity and evolving Federal Reserve dynamics shaped Q4 and why we remain focused on high-quality credit heading into 2026.

TwentyFour Asset Management’s Douglas Charleston highlights 2025 as another year in which European ABS delivered solid positive returns over risk-free rates, with lower-than-expected volatility despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

With global markets navigating a complex and evolving landscape and at a time when corporate bonds have emerged as a cornerstone for resilient and diversified portfolios, Vontobel is proud to celebrate a decade of alpha generation for the Vontobel Fund – Global Corporate Bond, which passed its 10th anniversary in October 2025.

2026 began with the global acknowledgement that the TACO mantra (Trump Always Chickens Out) does not apply to foreign policy. We believe this sends a clear message to leaders of small and medium-sized countries opposing or refusing to cooperate/negotiate with the Trump administration.

The new year has begun with a jolt for market participants after the US carried out a military operation in Caracas over the weekend, capturing Venezuela’s president Nicolas Maduro and his wife.

Il team di portfolio manager di TwentyFour Asset Management ha raccolto una selezione di grafici che illustrano i principali trend osservati nel 2025, ritenendo che tutti possano avere implicazioni significative per gli investitori nel 2026.

You can now watch the replay of our webinar: Charting the Path for Fixed Income in 2026.

Ampliate le vostre conoscenze sulla sottoclasse di investimento delle obbligazioni di mercati emergenti.

Looking ahead, we expect continued inflows, rising demand, and reduced supply to support EM hard-currency bonds. For EM local-currency bonds, we believe the current macroeconomic environment remains favorable, despite our conviction in a USD bear market being lower than it was a few months ago.

As we approach 2026, Fixed Income markets are shaped by weaker fundamentals, though lower uncertainty may reduce the likelihood of a catastrophic decline. That said, volatility will remain a defining feature. We believe the year ahead holds great potential for active managers who remain steady at the wheel: cautious but nimble.

The surge in AI capex is driving a rapid increase in bond issuance in the investment grade market. High yield bonds are on track to generate solid returns for 2025; we continue to favor telecoms and energy. The Swiss bond market has once again moved to its own rhythm.

In a K-shaped economy, high-income earners and large corporations thrive while low-income groups and small businesses struggle. This divergence challenges the Fed, as its policy decisions traditionally rely on GDP, unemployment rates, and inflation. However, K-shaped dynamics are often hidden behind these aggregate measures.