Fixed Income

Almost a year ago to the day, we were in the midst of banking sector turmoil, which started off with regional banks in the US and spilled over to Europe, eventually culminating in the forced merger between Swiss banks UBS and Credit Suisse.  

After some troubled years, bonds are back. In a big way. Our team explains the reasons why we believe bonds are poised to be one of the most attractive risk/reward propositions of the coming year.

What does the environment look like for Credit in 2024? And what are the fundamentals for emerging-market corporates this year? Wouter Van Overfelt and Mondher Bettaieb-Loriot discuss some of the hot topics for fixed income in emerging markets and developed markets, respectively.

Over time the definition of quality has broadened and become subject to a variety of interpretations, with sometimes significant divergence in the performance of quality strategies depending on market conditions.

Yesterday was an eventful day for markets. We started off with inflation data in Europe, followed by an earnings release by New York Community Bank that showed large provisions in their commercial real estate loan book, before moving onto the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting

January is on track to be a standout month for EM debt issuance. Our Fixed Income boutique’s Sergey Goncharov reviews which sovereigns and corporates are issuing EM debt and takes the pulse of the current environment that they’re operating in.

Many overlook ESG criteria in the Emerging Markets sector, but this is missing a key opportunity it can offer: by reducing volatility, its application may make EM debt more attractive to those interested in the space but avoid it nonetheless due to political and other risks.

2023 proved to be a second year where European ABS gave investors the strongest returns in fixed income with the benefit of very low volatility. As risk-free rates grew to what we expect to be the peak, income was maximised whilst the various market pivots on rates came and went in the rear view mirror.

We’ve likely reached peak interest rates as disinflation paves the way for an economic slowdown. The 2024 outlook from our Fixed Income Boutique explains why.

After two years of grappling with an ailing property market that has weighed on growth in the world’s second-largest economy, China’s government has pledged stronger fiscal measures and signaled more flexible monetary policy. Will they move the needle?

After a horrible year for financial markets in 2022, the macro-outlook for 2023 had a lot of consensus views, with most predicting a much better year ahead, helped by supportive rate cuts from central banks and positive returns from both government bonds and credit.  

Nature is our source. Challenges to natural capital are prompting the world to rethink its relationship with nature and the value we place on it. This article provides a bird-eye view of why investors should care about the semantics and monetization and regulation of nature.