TwentyFour

BoE: A historic vote and a hawkish cut
The Bank of England (BoE) delivered a widely expected 25bp cut on Thursday, taking interest rates to a two-year low of 4%. But the real story was in the balance of views on the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which for the first time in its 28-year history had to conduct two rounds of voting and has forced markets to reassess the path of future rate cuts.
TwentyFour

US labour market data busts benign macro narrative
In describing how markets have been pricing risk in recent months, the word “complacent” has been uttered on multiple occasions. If that was your view, then Friday’s sharp risk-off move could be seen as a wake-up call, or at least evidence that investors are keenly watching for any change in the more benign macro story that has dominated recently.
TwentyFour

UK banks shrug off tariffs and fiscal concerns with higher margins
Over the last week or so, the major UK banks have been reporting results for the first six months of 2025. Considering the noise around the UK’s fiscal situation and some softening in broader macroeconomic conditions, these releases offer another valuable data point for analysing the health of the UK economy and the operating environment of UK banks.
TwentyFour

US corporate hybrids gain momentum after ratings shift
The European corporate hybrid market has been established for some time. It is dominated by investment grade issuers seeking to raise capital with limited impact on their leverage ratios, thanks to rating agency treatment that classifies hybrids as 50% equity and 50% debt from a balance sheet perspective.
TwentyFour

US-EU deal welcome news in markets with little room for error
The US and the European Union (EU) have reached a trade agreement, averting a worst-case scenario of a more damaging trade war.
TwentyFour

A closer look at River Green and CMBS losses
A French CMBS transaction named River Green – a deal we exited a few years ago at a price in the mid-90s as part of a broader review of our CMBS exposure – has come under renewed scrutiny after a new valuation triggered expectations of principal losses on what were originally AAA rated bonds. Here’s how we got here.
TwentyFour

UK by the numbers: breaking down the latest ONS stats
The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) issued their monthly summary of the UK government’s income and expenses as well as the impact these have on the budget deficit and fiscal debt levels.
TwentyFour

CLO value emerges ahead of likely autumn surge
With the summer holiday season fast approaching, now feels like a good moment to pause and take stock of developments in the European ABS market year-to-date.
TwentyFour

Investment Grade Quarterly Update – July 2025
TwentyFour Asset Management’s Gordon Shannon reflects on a volatile but resilient second quarter of 2025 for the Investment Grade team, shaped by shifting tariff policies and evolving central bank actions.
TwentyFour

Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – July 2025
As the second quarter of 2025 draws to a close, TwentyFour Asset Management’s Elena Rinaldi shares her insights on a period shaped by significant geopolitical and macroeconomic developments.
TwentyFour

Multi-Sector Bond Quarterly Update – July 2025
In his latest update, TwentyFour Asset Management’s George Curtis looks back at a volatile yet resilient Q2 2025 for the Multi-sector bond team.
TwentyFour

New issuers add welcome depth to UK RMBS
The UK Prime RMBS market has continued to evolve in 2025, with a broadening of its participant base driven by the entrance of two new sponsors (Nottingham Building Society and Newcastle Building Society) which have both priced inaugural deals this year.
TwentyFour

Selectivity pays as European high yield hits record
Primary issuance in the European high yield (HY) market surged in June with €21.2bn of supply marking the highest monthly volume on record.
TwentyFour

European fixed income offers value, not just diversification
The turbulent start to 2025 has sent many investors seeking alternatives to US assets, but in our view European fixed income can offer more than just diversification.
TwentyFour

SRTs not sounding any alarms - despite the headlines
Last Friday, the European Banking Authority (EBA) published its semi-annual Risk Assessment Report. It is always a good read, as it provides a summary of trends in the banking sector and highlights risks that might be emerging in parts of the banking system.
TwentyFour

Reform proposals bring fresh hope of deeper ABS market
Blog posts about regulation rarely trouble our most-read charts, but on this occasion we think the payback on time invested looks more compelling.
TwentyFour

Watching spreads and structures as ABS momentum builds
Last week marked another record-breaking year for the securitisation industry as over 5,500 market participants gathered in Barcelona for the annual Global ABS conference, surpassing last year’s attendance and reflecting the growing momentum across both public asset-backed securities (ABS) and private asset-backed finance (ABF) markets.
TwentyFour

Oil, Iran and why markets are staying calm
Despite Israel and Iran exchanging fire for a fifth day, markets seem to be completely disregarding the possibility of this conflict mutating into something serious for the global economy.
TwentyFour

Tariff turnaround resets the outlook for fixed income
While tariffs have done meaningful damage to the economic outlook and raised volatility in rates markets, the softening of the US stance has restored confidence in credit returns for 2025.
TwentyFour

Patchy UK labour data strengthens case for BoE cuts
The latest Labour Market Overview published by the UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Tuesday morning has raised eyebrows, with some metrics seemingly having deteriorated quite rapidly versus last month.
TwentyFour

European high yield untroubled by default rate spike
The European high yield (HY) default rate spiked higher in May with the largest monthly default volume on record (€6bn).
TwentyFour

Section 899: A big, beautiful source of uncertainty for foreign investors?
As markets digest and speculate about the implications of the Trump administration’s 1,000+ page One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), new details are beginning to emerge.
TwentyFour

ECB preview: Is this the bottom for monetary policy rates?
The European Central Bank (ECB) will be alone this week in delivering its latest monetary policy decision, with the next Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan meetings not until the week commencing June 16.
TwentyFour

JGBs: are rising yields a risk to insurers?
Over the last couple weeks, we have seen an ongoing increase in government bond yields across the major global economies, with a particular focus on Japan as yields on longer dated Japanese government bonds (JGBs) have moved sharply higher.