Global Bonds

In investment grade, several hyperscalers raised capex projections, driving record-breaking bond issuance. AI-related investments are heightening correlation risks and reshaping index compositions. In high yield, AI disruption creates risks and opportunities, particularly in software. The AI-capex trend has impacted the Swiss bond market, where new issuance remained elevated.

As we approach 2026, Fixed Income markets are shaped by weaker fundamentals, though lower uncertainty may reduce the likelihood of a catastrophic decline. That said, volatility will remain a defining feature. We believe the year ahead holds great potential for active managers who remain steady at the wheel: cautious but nimble.

Despite questions about the Federal Reserve’s independence, growing US isolationism, and global trade risks, we see a runway for fixed income. Credit fundamentals remain strong alongside robust technicals and improving valuations. Our Fixed Income team shares where they are finding alpha opportunities and why they are cautiously optimistic.

We remain cautiously optimistic about Fixed Income returns. Tail risks are elevated, which dampens our confidence in “risk on” markets. But alpha opportunities still await risk-aware, active investors. Those who try to predict the next major macro shift may find themselves echoing Luke Skywalker’s words, “your overconfidence is your weakness.”

With French snap elections and a lean to the right, June’s EU election continues to pique investor attention. We ask Chief Economist Reto Cueni and Head of Global and Swiss Bonds, Anna Holzgang, to explain the stories behind the headlines grabbing investor attention.

High yield markets entered the year at an attractive entry point and investors can enjoy the power of high carry with still solid credit fundamentals. Turning the page on a challenging 2022, the Global High Yield Bond team is hopeful 2023 will be a fortunate year for many things, especially income.

Rarely has there been so much uncertainty across global markets. Mark highlights some of the opportunities we are seeing in the credit markets, as well as some of our likes and dislikes in terms of sectors, and detail the strategy we believe fixed income investors could look to adopt going forward.

Global financial markets have been rocked by the COVID-19 pandemic. Listen to an investor call with Twenty Asset Management chief executive Mark Holman on how investors can protect themselves and where value opportunities could emerge.