Emerging Markets Equities

Strong performance of EM local currency bonds has been driven by a bearish US dollar and fundamental factors supporting sustainable appreciation toward a stronger equilibrium.

The US dollar’s reign is faltering, and we believe a prolonged dollar bear market is underway – a scenario that has historically been a tailwind for emerging market economic growth and asset valuations. However, not all emerging equity markets respond equally to the dollar’s decline.

Uncertainty and volatility in today’s environment have highlighted the benefits of our disciplined Quality Growth philosophy, focused on proven businesses with inherent resilience and durability. Given the narrow tailwinds from the prior two years, select quality companies are attractively valued given their defensive growth characteristics.

As the exuberance we’ve seen over the past few years fades, our Quality Growth team looks to find resilience in industries that are shielded from the effects of tariffs and the volatility around AI.

Investigative analyst Zhen Li recently attended the Shanghai’s second Global Developer Conference. Zhen’s on-the-ground research reveals concerns about the viability and sustainability of DeepSeek’s model given the intense competition in China's AI sector and lack of clarity around monetization of AI models.

Shares in Nvidia and ASML have plummeted due to concerns that Chinese AI startup DeepSeek's new model could disrupt the current AI business model. DeepSeek's R1 model, released on January 20, exhibits performance similar to top US large language models (LLMs), but at a fraction of the cost.

Watch our livestream where Jean-Louis Nakamura, Head of Vontobel Conviction Equities, hosts a discussion between Viktor Shvets, Head of Global Desk Strategy at Macquarie and Anthony Corrigan, Client Portfolio Manager, about the role that emerging market (EM) equities play in today’s global equity portfolio and what key factors need to be considered when building a resilient EM equity portfolio.

The forces driving today’s markets are making it especially hard for investors to find the right balance. How can investors tap into the burgeoning power of AI without taking too much risk? Learn how our Quality Growth team manages risk while maintaining a healthy equilibrium.

How do you manage the impact of market volatility driven by election outcomes? Matthew Benkendorf, CIO of our Quality Growth Boutique, shares ways to help mitigate risks and stay focused on business fundamentals that point to enduring quality.

Navigating challenging markets requires assessing earnings and revenue trends and digging into balance sheets. But financial metrics alone can be backward looking. A fundamental understanding of industries, companies, and markets can provide important insights that can help avoid hidden risks and identify overlooked growth drivers.

Child labor and imposing unnecessary medical procedures on women were recently identified in the sugar industry in India. While multinationals such as Pepsi and Coca-Cola are not directly linked to poor labor conditions, they can affect change. As active investors, we engage with our portfolio companies on these important issues.

Legendary investor Charlie Munger, who recently passed away, followed a simple philosophy of “soldiering on” – persevering through challenging times while also knowing when to seize opportunities. Munger’s wisdom guides us as we manage key risks and seek to find opportunities in 2024.