Asset management

Vontobel’s experts assess the implications of the latest US-Iran deal for inflation and interest rates, exploring the policy outlook for the Fed, ECB and Bank of England, and discussing where opportunities and risks may emerge across fixed income markets.

In an increasingly deglobalized world, governments are seeking energy and commodity autonomy in the form of domestic supply chains and strategic reserves. What does this mean for the energy transition?

Factor concentration is back in focus. This paper revisits portable alpha for today’s macro regime, showing how a select set of fixed income strategies with orthogonal return drivers may improve portfolio outcomes without changing the underlying beta.

Markets have held up surprisingly well, even as pressures build beneath the surface. Since the war in the Middle East began in February, investors have had to contend with rising energy prices, renewed inflation concerns, and a quasi-U-turn in monetary policy expectations.

Emerging markets have just weathered two major global shocks — and have come out on top. We believe this is no accident. Many investors missed the post-Liberation Day rebound by staying anchored in a framework that may no longer describe the emerging-market universe. The same misreading risks compounding potential portfolio under-exposure today.

Markets have bounced back to pre-conflict highs. The Conviction Equities and Multi Asset boutiques share their views on why this signal may be worth paying attention to.

Vontobel’s experts discuss how geopolitics, inflation and credit are shaping the outlook for fixed income, exploring the impact of the Middle East crisis, diverging paths between the U.S. and Europe, and where value opportunities may emerge across credit markets.

Our Vontobel experts, Dan Scott, Head of Multi-Asset & CIO; Christoph Boner, Chief Investment Allocation Officer; and Georg Häsler, security and military expert at NZZ, analyzed the latest developments in the Iran conflict. The discussion covered the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the scope for action of the US, China’s role, and the implications for global energy supplies.

Vontobel’s experts provide their perspective on developments in the Middle East and Iran and discuss the potential impact on emerging market equities and fixed income.

You can now watch the replay of our webinar: Charting the Path for Fixed Income in 2026.

You can now watch the replay of our webinar “Under Pressure: Checks and balances in central banks”

Political influence over monetary policy can undermine long-term economic stability, with a potential impact on investor confidence, bond markets, and the broader economy. This article explores scenarios ranging from zero influence to a mild erosion of US Federal Reserve independence to outright political capture.