Fixed income

Following a turbulent week for rates markets, Eoin Walsh outlines what investors can expect as the Bank of England and other central banks meet this week.

With a student housing CMBS deal recently brought to market, Kevin Law evaluates the sector’s outlook in the aftermath of COVID-19

With all eyes on November 3 and the Fed’s next move, Paul Kim looks at supply chain disruption in the US and how its cost pressures have shifted the narrative on ‘transitory’ inflation.

TwentyFour Partner and Portfolio Manager, Douglas Charleston, explains how ABS markets have performed in Q3 2021 and provides his outlook for the rest of the year.

TwentyFour Portfolio Manager, Diana Chiu, discusses how the short term bond strategy has performed in Q3 2021 and provides her outlook for the rest of the year.

TwentyFour Portfolio Manager, Charlene Malik, discusses market conditions in Q3 2021 and provides her outlook for the rest of the year.

After a mixed start to Q4 for risk assets, Elena Rinaldi examines how European ABS and CLO assets have fared so far in Q4 and the factors currently affecting both markets.

Let’s not forget that the BoE dropped rates from 0.75% right down to 0.1% at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic back in March 2020, having only managed to put through two hikes in 2017 and 2018. It has changed course sharply before.

While bank treasurers may have to work a bit harder this year-end to formulate wholesale funding plans, the ABS market that they may be more reliant on going forward is experiencing a strong resurgence, which should ease the process of weaning off central bank funding.

This looks to us like a buy-into-the-dip opportunity, but investors should be wary of taking on too much rate sensitivity as the move in risk-free curves is likely to persist until the rate hike cycle is actually on the way.

From time to time, Treasury yields actually become the source of risk for financial markets.

On Wednesday, the Fed moved one step closer to tapering and even put quite a clear timeframe for it, while on Thursday, the Bank of England openly talked about rate hikes.

It will take time for this sector to recover and we are likely to see more suppliers collapse in the coming weeks and months.

Our base case is for a continuation of quite high growth and a modest inflation overshoot. For bond investors, positioning for stagflation could be a dangerous trade if that base case bears out

With ample job openings, inflation well ahead of target, financial conditions that are certainly not tight and strong economic growth, the obvious question is what does the Fed need to see to finally start tapering its asset purchases?

In recent months and years we have seen remarkable growth in the number of ESG-focused or sustainable investment strategies being offered by asset managers, a trend that first emerged in the equity market but is now making itself felt in the world of fixed income.

Graeme Anderson shares five lessons from sustainable bond investing, including how E and S are catching up to G and why Coca-Cola scores higher than Tesla.

TwentyFour Asset Management’s portfolio management team offer bond issuers three tips on improving their ESG data disclosure, and explain why companies shouldn’t attempt to fool them.

Despite the impressive returns of Euro HY over the last year or so, the backdrop for the asset class continues to suggest there is more upside to come.

For bond investors, evidence of rising inflation represents the most resonant market story of 2021. In in his latest article Mark Holman, CEO of TwentyFour Asset Management (a boutique of Vontobel Asset Management), outlines the considerations for bond investors as they navigate credit market during the remainder of 2021.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s annual summer symposium in Wyoming represents an important data point for financial markets since it provides valuable clues as to the policy moves the Fed may make in the ensuing twelve months. This year will be no exception and the investor community should listen carefully. It usually chooses not to resulting not only in market volatility but also opportunities.

When combined with other prevalent market dynamics, the favourable ratings trend paves the way for a highly supportive fundamental terrain as we advance through the cycle and one that is ideal for portfolio managers selecting credits.

We can model all kinds of credit risk as long as there is enough protection in the structure for investors to get comfortable with a degree of residual value risk.

After a hectic first half of the year, most investors, including us, were hoping for a dull summer to recharge our batteries, but it seems there’s no respite from the CLO machine.