Meet Karin

Karin Güldner

Economic Analyst

Zurich

Vontobel Asset Management AG

Genferstrasse 27

CH-8022 Zurich

Switzerland

Karin Güldner joined Vontobel Asset Management in May 2021 as an Economic Analyst / Investment Writer within the Multi Asset Boutique. In her role, she is responsible for editing relevant content, handling and documenting strategically important projects, and writing market updates and educational articles.

Prior to joining Vontobel, she was Senior Communications Manager in the Fixed Income and Sales department of Zürcher Kantonalbank (Swisscanto Invest). Before that, she worked as a freelance ghostwriter.

Karin holds a degree in Economics with a focus on service, administration, and management from the University of Trier.

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Vescore Global Market Outlook February 2023

The euphoria in the financial markets has been driven by falling expectations of a severe recession. Although our models continue to indicate a US recession, this is likely to begin later in the year. This means there is no contradiction in the equity overweighting that is currently suggested by our model.

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Viewpoint | Read | 7 min Jan 10 2023

Big Data: Man and Machine as a Team in the Investment Process

Should we blindly follow a machine? Or is human judgment needed to make weighed decisions? We believe that man and machine must act as a team to achieve the best results. That's why we developed the Wave, which is based on a big data approach and serves as a compass in our investment process.

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Outlook | Read | 7 min Jan 03 2023

Vescore Global Market Outlook January 2023

The markets are still unimpressed by the approaching recession. This is the case even though aggressive interest rate rises, an inverse yield curve, the global “contraction” status of the Wave, and the similarities between the current market environment and 1989 as highlighted by our risk model all clearly suggest that 2023 is likely to see economic collateral damage.

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Outlook | Read | 7 min Nov 30 2022

Vescore Global Market Outlook December 2022

Market participants are eagerly awaiting the Fed meeting in mid-December. How it chooses to tackle inflation will determine the severity of the recession, which our models – especially the Wave and the risk model – are now clearly signaling.

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Outlook | Read | 9 min Nov 01 2022

Vescore Global Market Outlook November 2022

The bear market has not yet reached its end. Meanwhile, concerns are also rising that economic stagflation - an economic situation in which stagnant growth is accompanied by inflation - could develop. This view is shared not only by our proprietary business cycle model, whose contraction signals are strengthening, but also by the continuously rising credit spread, which has reached levels of past recessions this month.

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Outlook | Read | 9 min Oct 03 2022

Vescore Global Market Outlook October 2022

Our models are signaling that not only the economy but also the risk environment is deteriorating further. Possible further interest rate hikes are weighing on both equity and bond markets, with no relief in sight at present.

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